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Conclusion of the Polls in each of the 50 States since January 2008

Blogpost 15.09.2008

source for the data and polls: electoral-vote.com

DP = Democratic Party
RP = Republican Party
EVs = electoral voters

"more" means more than the other party => the winner in each state takes all the EVs of a state

1. State
2. Analysis of the distance between the two parties
3. Classification
4. Decision about EVs

 

Alabama

 

RP: 21% more

 

strong RP

 

9 EVs for McCain

 

Alaska

 

RP: 20,5% more

 

strong RP

 

3 EVs for McCain

 

Arizona

 

RP: 12,6% more

 

strong RP

 

10 EVs for McCain

 

Arkansas

 

RP: 16% more

 

strong RP

 

6 EVs for McCain

 

California

 

DP: 14,3% more

 

strong DP

 

55 EVs for Obama

 

Colorado

 

DP: 2,3% more

 

close to call

 

9 EVs are to close

 

Conneticut

 

DP: 16,2% more

 

strong DP

 

7 EVs for Obama

 

Delaware

 

DP: 11,0% more

 

strong DP

 

3 EVs for Obama

 

D.C.

 

DP: 60% more

 

strong DP

 

3 EVs for Obama

 

Florida

 

 

RP: 1,5% more

 

 

close to call

 

 

27 EVs are too close to 

decide => swing state

 

Georgia

 

RP: 10,2 % more

 

strong RP

 

15 EVs for McCain

 

Hawaii

 

DP: 30% more

 

strong DP

 

4 EVs for Obama

 

Idaho

 

RP: 20% more

 

strong RP

 

4 EVs for McCain

 

Illinois

 

DP: 19% more

 

strong DP

 

21 EVs for Obama

 

Indiana

 

RP: 4,6% more

 

barely RP

 

11 EVs for McCain

 

Iowa

 

DP: 7,7% more

 

weak DP

 

7 EVs for Obama

 

Kansas

RP: 25% more

 

strong RP

 

6 EVs for McCain

 

 

Kentucky

 

RP: 19,5% more

 

strong RP

 

8 EVs for McCain

 

Louisiana

 

RP: 10,7% more

 

strong RP

 

9 EVs for McCain

 

Maine

 

DP: 10,4% more

 

strong DP

 

4 EVs for Obama

 

Maryland

 

DP: 13,2% more

 

strong DP

 

10 EVs for Obama

 

Massachusetts

 

DP: 14,2% more

 

strong DP

 

12 EVs for Obama

 

Michigan

 

 

DP: 2,95% more     

 

 

close to call   

 

 

17 EVs are too close to

decide => swing state

 

Minnesota

 

DP: 3,1 % more

 

barely DP

 

10 EVs for Obama

 

Mississippi

 

RP: 13,2% more

 

strong RP

 

6 EVs for McCain

 

Missouri

 

RP: 4,4% more

 

barely RP

 

11 EVs for McCain

 

Montana

 

RP: 4,6% more

 

barely RP

 

3 EVs for McCain

 

Nebraska

 

RP: 20,1% more

 

strong RP

 

5 EVs for McCain

 

Nevada

 

 

DP: 0,15% more

 

 

close to call

 

 

5 EVs are too close to

decide => swing state

 

New Hampshire   

 

DP: 3,4% more

 

barely DP

 

4 EVs for Obama

 

New Jersey

 

DP: 8,6% more

 

weak DP

 

15 EVs for Obama

 

New Mexico

 

DP: 7,4 % more

 

weak DP

 

5 EVs for Obama

 

New York

 

DP: 18,7% more

 

strong DP

 

31 EVs for Obama

 

North Carolina

 

RP: 7% more

 

weak RP

 

15 EVs for McCain

 

North Dakota

 

RP: 6,7 % more

 

weak RP

 

3 EVs for McCain

 

Ohio

 

 

DP: 0,95% more

 

 

close to call

 

 

20 EVs are too close to

decide => swing state

 

Oklahoma

 

RP: 25% more

 

strong RP

 

7 EVs for McCain

 

Oregon

 

DP: 8,3% more

 

weak DP

 

7 EVs for Obama

 

Pennsylvania

 

DP: 3,2% more

 

barely DP

 

21 EVs for Obama

 

Rhode Island

 

DP: 23,7% more

 

strong DP

 

4 EVs for Obama

 

South Carolina

 

RP: 8,3% more

 

weak RP

 

8 EVs for McCain

 

South Dakota

 

RP: 15,7% more

 

strong RP

 

3 EVs for McCain

 

Tennessee

 

RP: 15% more

 

strong RP

 

11 EVs for McCain

 

Texas

 

RP: 9,1% more

 

weak RP

 

34 EVs for McCain

 

Utah

 

RP: 26,4% more

 

strong RP

 

5 EVs for McCain

 

Vermont

 

DP: 19,5% more

 

strong DP

 

3 EVs for Obama

 

Virginia

 

 

RP: 1,3% more

 

 

close to call

 

 

13 EVs are to close to

decide => swing state

 

Washington

 

DP: 6,8% more

 

weak DP

 

11 EVs for Obama

 

West Virginia

 

RP: 8,5% more

 

weak RP

 

5 EVs for McCain

 

Wisconsin

 

DP: 5,1% more

 

barely DP

 

10 EVs for Obama

 

Wyooming

 

RP: 22% more

 

strong RP

 

3 EVs for McCain

 


situation on 16.09.2008
45,4 % of the EVs for Obama
18,6 % of the EVs are too close to decide
35,9 % of the EVs for McCain

Weiter


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